Our regular meetings during the season are held the 2nd and 4th Wednesdays of the month from 7 to 9 p.m.
Look at http://www.scshca.com/Events_and_Activities/Calendar.htm to confirm.
Meeting announcements*, with suggested topics, can be found in the club's group archive (sign on req'd).
Showing posts with label oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label oil. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

January 12, 2011

From the Agenda Committee:
  1. If you were President, where would you propose to reduce the current National Deficit?
  2. Gasoline is going up towards $5.00 per gallon, what can be done to minimize this trend?
  3. What are your thoughts on changes being proposed to link teacher tenure to student test results?  Ref: WSJ, 1/2/11, Page A3 “Attempts to Link Teacher Tenure to Results.”
At the meeting, we spoke at some length about the tragic shootings in Arizona and President Obama's memorial address earlier in Tuscon.  Many at the meeting objected to the fixing of blame on the right.  No one brought up the defense from Sarah Palin, using the term blood libel, with its connotations.

Regarding item #2, see my peak oil blog, The Spare Can.
See Richard Heinberg's Museletter and chapter 3 of his book-in-progress The End of GrowthEarth's Limits: Why Growth won't Return

We ran out of time to discuss item #4.

Thursday, May 27, 2010

June 7, 2010

Topics from the agenda committee:

1. What are your thoughts regarding the oil gusher in the Gulf?

2. Should government pay union pensions if the unions are unable? Ref: Wall Street Journal - 1 June 2010 - Union Pension Bailout!

3. postponed

4. postponed

5. June 8 ballot propositions

Topic #1: US EIA: Gulf Fact Sheet, Here's an essay from PBS about the oil spill in context of our relation to nature: The Gulf oil spill: A hole in the world . Also, see my entry on the subject, Limits on Power, in another blog of mine, the spare can.


Topic #5: Smartvoter

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Deepwater Horizon blowout

The agenda committee did not propose a discussion of the Gulf of Mexico disaster, so here I'm providing some details about it.

Sunday, March 21, 2010

April 5, 2010

Topics from the agenda committee:
  1. WSJ opinion:
  2. Predators and the Constitution -
  3. The feds usurp another area of state law
  4. WSJ: Teacher Seniority Rules Challenged - With Tens of Thousands of Layoffs Looming, Government Officials and Parents Want to Change the 'Last in, First out' System
  5. WSJ opinion: California Cap-and-Trade Revolt - A ballot measure would suspend the law until joblessness falls
Re. Topic #2:
Newsweek: Schoolyard Brawl - A leading reformer and a union head square off over teacher tenure.
Reference from Andy: Time Magazine 2/8/10 page 20-“In The Arena With Joe Klein

Re. Topic #3:

References from Andy:

  • WSJ 3/11/10 Page A20 “Going Green vs Going Broke”-Can CA afford this?
  • WSJ 12/17/09 Page A26 “Cap & Trade in Practice” – an incentive to go overseas

Other:
Wikipedia: Cap-and-trade , compare to Fishery management
new & related - opening up ocean drilling - Newsweek: Obama's Drilling Decision

my own observation:
Most commentators conflate global warming (GW) with fossil fuel depletion(FFD). They're similar in two principal ways:
  1. They're caused by the burning of fossil fuels (read on), and
  2. They both involve a limited resource (in GW, an atmosphere low in greenhouse gases - in FFD, the quantity of oil/gas/coal left in the ground). Most of the emphasis has been on GW.
They're different in how a reduction of the resource could negatively affect civilization.
  1. Global warming could take years to fully manifest.
  2. A major disruption in oil supply, such as the destruction of a Saudi oil terminal, could result in world-wide chaos in a matter of days.
Even if you don't believe in man-made global warming, the other threat (FFD) remains and is the more pressing. I cannot stress enough that Global Warming is different than Fossil Fuel Depletion.

National Geographic TV: Peak Oil
History Channel: After Armageddon (itunes, Youtube, torrent)

more:

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

February 15, 2010

Topic #1:
Originally in August, 2005 a policy to extract oil from the Bakken Oil Reserve (having an estimated volume of two [b]illion barrels was federally mandated. However none has been extracted to date. Why are we still dependent on Middle East oil?
  • Government cannot mandate production of oil. Oil was created over eons.
  • Even if completely extracted, there's not a lot there. See my calc below.
  • Bakken is solid rock. Requires lots of energy to extract oil from rock. See below.
  • We're dependent on Middle East oil, because the Middle East has most of the earth's remaining oil and we're utterly dependent on oil, period.
recoverable barrels in Bakken (oil shale) per USGS: ~3000 million
barrels used in U.S. each day : ~20 million
days of U.S. supply in Bakken : ~150


Through analyzing historical production data, experts say the petroleum sector's EROI (energy return on energy invested) in this country was about 100-to-1 in 1930, meaning one had to burn approximately 1 barrel of oil's worth of energy to get 100 barrels out of the ground. By the 1990s, it is thought, that number slid to less than 36-to-1, and further down to 19-to-1 by 2006.

"If you go from using a 20-to-1 energy return fuel down to a 3-to-1 fuel, economic collapse is guaranteed," as nothing is left for other economic activity, said Nate Hagens, editor of the popular peak oil blog "The Oil Drum".
See these Oil Drum posts for in-depth analysis on oil shale: here and here.

A comment I made during the meeting, I think, sums it up:
The crunch will happen very soon when there's the realization that (the physical) supply can't match demand.

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

December 21, 2009

Besides the suggested topics, there was discussion about the budget deficit facing our city in present and future years. Some in the club think that SCSH residents should be better informed (through email) about city problems, and that would result in improved government. I say, don't bother. (Many would regard such email as spam.) But if you must, start a blog like the Claremont Insider. That blog has 87 posts that mention our Glenn Southard who was city manager in Claremont before arriving here. I note, however, that even intelligent blogs such as the Claremont Insider (and the bloggers who write them) run out of steam after awhile.
Indio City Council agendas, meeting packets, etc., can be read online at Indio.org.
Desert Sun: Cities, be frugal with broadcasts, Indio's credit card tab tops $805,000
  • The council meets at 5 p.m. on the first and third Wednesday of the month.
  • Broadcast at 9 a.m. Fridays and 8 p.m. Saturdays on TW Channels 17 and 120.
There was some discussion about the effectiveness of the $700+ billion stimulus package and where the money went. I mentioned that the well-being of our economy depends on a healthy natural world. To my mind, economics is a subset of ecology, and we place ourselves (nevermind our progeny) at great peril as we use up the world's non-renewable resources. For more on this alternative view of our global economy, visit these pages from:

Friday, June 26, 2009

air conditioning units / national health care / energy

Our next meeting is Monday, June 29, with these suggested topics:
  1. Phase 1&2 a/c unit concerns - presentation by resident Don Hauser
  2. Two major reforms, which the President ran on, are before Congress now. Can further government action improve
  • Health care?
  • Energy supply and demand?
Regarding item #1:
The claim is that the metal pans, below the attic evaporators in many homes here, are rusting away and will eventually cause failure in those units, possibly extending to ceiling damage.

Regarding item #2a:
infantile denial lies at the heart of much contemporary political disaffection
NY Times editorial: A Public Health Plan
Obama started by courting the major interest groups, and so far none of them—insurers, drug companies, hospitals, or doctors—has come out against him. He has repeatedly stated his flexibility and openness to compromise. Instead of proposing a plan, or even endorsing any specific policies, he has laid out eight broad principles—universality, affordability, portability, quality, choice, prevention, fiscal sustainability, and financial protection—and left the rest to Congress.

Regarding item #2b:
A sense of doom or shame only motivates a small segment of the public — and puts off the rest
The piece errs, as so many do, in not drawing a distinction between climate change and energy use.

See also another blog of mine and post there: Jimmy Carter's malaise speech.
This is my principal concern; I can't emphasize this enough. It's summarized in this 2004 interview with Richard Heinberg. Here are active links updated from those in the interview: Richard Heinberg's Museletter and Energy Bulletin.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

alternative energy / price of oil

The discussion topics for the August 25, 2008 meeting are:

  1. The November ballot initiative Prop 10 to authorize the sale of $5 billion in general fund bonds to provide alternative energy rebates and incentives, covering only vehicles powered by natural gas.
  2. Is it good or bad for the price of oil to be high?
Regarding item #1:
Ballotpedia: Prop 10
Natural Gas: A Primer, Newsweek- NG Vehicles
From my blog on Peak Oil: (T. Boone) Pickens Plan

Regarding item #2:
From my Peak Oil blog: ethics
From another blogger: explaining the oscillations

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Oil and Water in the Mix

Our March 24 meeting had as one topic:
What do we do when we run out of oil in the United States?
Earlier, on March 10, Robert Keeran of Coachella Valley Water District, gave a presentation and Q&A about the history of
water use in the valley.
At the April 7 meeting, Glen Miller from the Indio City Planning Commission spoke in part about city water projects. Here's an article about CVWD and Desert Sun pieces: Separate project looks to replenish east valley aquifer and Water is a precious commodity for all of us.

In the latest issue, Newsweek has a piece Rivers Running Dry looking at resource depletion, comparing those of water and oil.
This problem is especially acute in the Southwest. In February, one study found that Lake Mead, which supplies a stretch of the Colorado River that snakes through northern Arizona, could run dry in a decade or so, if current water use rates persist. Each year, the study found, the lake loses enough water for 8 million people. "Just like we have peak oil, we have peak water, and when it comes to the Colorado River, we are at that peak," says Tim Barnett, a scientist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, Calif., and coauthor of the Mead study. "The whole West is under the gun here."
Even though our CVWD has, with foresight, secured rights to some Colorado River water, that water is increasingly in short supply. That's besides the ancient groundwater we pump up for our daily lives and to irrigate our golf courses. I've heard reports that our efforts to replenish the aquifer are falling short. With our water, there's more of a parallel to peak oil than most of us appreciate.
Water Updates
5/28/08: Several lawsuits between Indio and CVWD are in play, including one regarding Citrus Ranch in Indio's sphere of influence. See this article about in the Desert Sun.
6/18/08: Here's a document filed by CVWD in case INC07838 which explains the district's position regarding the recharge assessment and our underground aquifer.
6/21/08: Here's a Desert Sun article, Indio council agrees to settle lawsuit (archived), on the announced settlement of a related lawsuit (INC065049) regarding Citrus Ranch; note comments on bottom. Indio published the settlement agreement with CVWD on its website; whether the public interest is adequately served by that agreement is a question.
7/16/08 update: Scientific American's August cover article is about water.
8/3/08 update: Desert Sun - New drinking water source discovered in Indio under Sun City Shadow Hills!
8/08 update: Dow Tunis reports in The View
The 1,200 acre Citrus Ranch project at the corner of Dillon and Fargo Canyon roads, North of I-10, which includes more than 3,000 homes and an 18-hole golf course, has been stopped. The C.V.W.D. is suing Indio and the builder of the project for irreparably harming the environment. The water district called a halt to Citrus Ranch work and a new environmental study that takes into account potential impacts of further groundwater overuse.
In the December '08 View, Dow offers a correction, to wit:
The Coachella Valley Water District and the City have agreed to settle the Citrus Ranch lawsuit. The City of Indio protested the golf community project’s environmental impact report, contending that it did not address water overuse. Under the terms of the agreement, the Citrus Ranch developer, SunCal, will pay the City the sum of $5.6 million to offset the project’s impact on local groundwater supplies. CVWD and Indio will collaborate on a more effective way to use the money to help combat overdraft of the aquifer.
You will recall from previous articles in the View, that the Citrus Rancho Project will include residential neighborhoods, a hotel, golf course and community center.

On the subject of peak oil, I'm author of another blog on that subject, The Spare Can. 7/5/08 Update, in the Desert Sun: Who is to blame for the energy crisis?
"We have met the enemy and he is us." - Walt Kelly's comic strip "Pogo," circa 1960